Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.052802 0.061906 0.072065 0.084237 0.098423 0.114430 0.133862
2025-08-24 0.038391 0.050124 0.064638 0.083891 0.108745 0.139740 0.181332
2025-08-31 0.029768 0.042209 0.058859 0.082726 0.116030 0.160830 0.225676
2025-09-07 0.024969 0.037887 0.056327 0.084494 0.126374 0.186291 0.278518
2025-09-14 0.020834 0.033534 0.052710 0.083659 0.132275 0.205630 0.324689
2025-09-21 0.017414 0.029558 0.048837 0.081531 0.135473 0.220822 0.366053
2025-09-28 0.014648 0.026101 0.045143 0.078927 0.137225 0.233547 0.404653
2025-10-05 0.013195 0.024584 0.044334 0.080853 0.146503 0.259333 0.467762
2025-10-12 0.011781 0.022891 0.042936 0.081463 0.153434 0.281776 0.527695
2025-10-19 0.010541 0.021311 0.041484 0.081705 0.159606 0.303429 0.588662
2025-10-26 0.009609 0.020171 0.040668 0.082971 0.167749 0.329474 0.660770
2025-11-02 0.008943 0.019454 0.040550 0.085539 0.178658 0.361868 0.748829
2025-11-09 0.007777 0.017549 0.037847 0.082613 0.178383 0.372852 0.796616
2025-11-16 0.007007 0.016377 0.036498 0.082329 0.183532 0.395349 0.870922
2025-11-23 0.006266 0.015156 0.034869 0.081196 0.186684 0.414024 0.939413
2025-11-30 0.005833 0.014575 0.034559 0.082934 0.196330 0.447563 1.044221
2025-12-07 0.005272 0.013600 0.033219 0.082114 0.200045 0.468510 1.123372
2025-12-14 0.004698 0.012506 0.031449 0.080024 0.200498 0.482118 1.187241
2025-12-21 0.004167 0.011439 0.029594 0.077467 0.199474 0.492143 1.243804
2025-12-28 0.003932 0.011111 0.029522 0.079359 0.209651 0.529850 1.372030
2026-01-04 0.003654 0.010623 0.028978 0.079958 0.216629 0.560585 1.486654
2026-01-11 0.003385 0.010121 0.028330 0.080195 0.222693 0.589742 1.600799
2026-01-18 0.003184 0.009780 0.028066 0.081438 0.231595 0.627144 1.740963